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Xi Jinping. (Jade Gao / AP)

Analyser: G20-bojkott kan vara del av större plan

Att Kinas president Xi Jinping för första gången bojkottar ett G20-möte tolkas av många diplomater som att Kina håller på att avskärma sig från väst och dess allierade. Det skriver Martin Quin Pollard, Laurie Chen och Yew Lun Tian för Reuters.

”Kina har en ansträngd relation till värdlandet Indien, vilket enligt analytiker kan vara en faktor, men på det hela taget har Xis internationella resor minskat betydligt i år och avgränsats till länder som Peking ser som vänliga.”

I ljuset av Kinas maktkamp med USA kan bojkotten ses som ett tecken på Xis missnöje med den rådande världsordningen, och globala strukturer som han ser som alltför USA-styrda, skriver Nectar Gan för CNN.

”I stället kanske Xi prioriterar multilaterala forum som passar in i Kinas egen vision för hur världen ska styras, såsom det nyligen avslutade Brics-toppmötet och det kommande ’Ett bälte, en väg’-forumet.”

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”Ett bälte, en väg”
Wikipedia (en)
The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI, or B&R), known within China as the One Belt One Road (Chinese: 一带一路; pinyin: Yīdài Yīlù) or OBOR/1B1R for short, is a global infrastructure development strategy adopted by the Chinese government in 2013 to invest in more than 150 countries and international organizations. It is considered a centerpiece of the Chinese leader Xi Jinping's foreign policy. The BRI forms a central component of Xi's "Major Country Diplomacy" (Chinese: 大国外交) strategy, which calls for China to assume a greater leadership role for global affairs in accordance with its rising power and status. It has been compared to the American Marshall Plan. As of August 2023, 155 countries were listed as having signed up to the BRI. The participating countries include almost 75% of the world's population and account for more than half of the world's GDP.: 192 Xi originally announced the strategy as the "Silk Road Economic Belt" during an official visit to Kazakhstan in September 2013. "Belt" is short for the "Silk Road Economic Belt," referring to the proposed overland routes for road and rail transportation through landlocked Central Asia along the famed historical trade routes of the Western Regions; whereas "road" is short for the "21st Century Maritime Silk Road", referring to the Indo-Pacific sea routes through Southeast Asia to South Asia, the Middle East and Africa. Examples of Belt and Road Initiative infrastructure investments include ports, skyscrapers, railroads, roads, bridges, airports, dams, coal-fired power stations, and railroad tunnels. The initiative was incorporated into the Constitution of the Chinese Communist Party in 2017. The Xi Jinping Administration describes the initiative as "a bid to enhance regional connectivity and embrace a brighter future." The project has a target completion date of 2049, which will coincide with the centennial of the People's Republic of China (PRC)'s founding. Numerous studies conducted by the World Bank have estimated that BRI can boost trade flows in 155 participating countries by 4.1 percent, as well as cutting the cost of global trade by 1.1 percent to 2.2 percent, and grow the GDP of East Asian and Pacific developing countries by an average of 2.6 to 3.9 percent. According to London-based consultants Centre for Economics and Business Research, BRI is likely to increase the world GDP by $7.1 trillion per annum by 2040, and that benefits will be "widespread" as improved infrastructure reduces "frictions that hold back world trade". CEBR also concludes that the project will be likely to attract further countries to join, if the global infrastructure initiative progresses and gains momentum.Supporters praise the BRI for its potential to boost the global GDP, particularly in developing countries. However, there has also been criticism over human rights violations and environmental impact, as well as concerns of debt-trap diplomacy resulting in neocolonialism and economic imperialism. These differing perspectives are the subject of active debate.

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