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Wall Street 1907. (Wikimedia Commons. )

Burry: 1907 tog det tre veckor för börsen att bottna

Inflytelserika investeraren Michael Burry tror att de stödåtgärder som amerikanska myndigheter satt in kommer att räcka för att dämpa den senaste veckans turbulens i banksystemet, skriver CNBC. I ett inlägg på Twitter drar han en parallell till den så kallade bankpaniken 1907 och antyder att börsen kan nå botten om några veckor.

”Knickerbocker Trust gick under på grund av riskabla investeringar, vilket skapade panik. Ytterligare två föll kort därefter, och det spred sig. När en rusning påbörjades […] tog JP Morgan ställning. Tre veckor senare hade paniken lättat och marknaden bottnat”, skriver Burry och tillägger:

”Ställning togs i helgen”.

Burry är känd för att han förutsåg den amerikanska bostadsbubblan 2008.

bakgrund
 
Michael Burry
Wikipedia (en)
Michael James Burry (; born June 19, 1971) is an American investor, hedge fund manager, and physician. He founded the hedge fund Scion Capital, which he ran from 2000 until 2008 before closing it to focus on his personal investments. He is best known for being amongst the first investors to predict and profit from the subprime mortgage crisis that occurred between 2007 and 2010.
bakgrund
 
Paniken 1907
Wikipedia (en)
The Panic of 1907, also known as the 1907 Bankers' Panic or Knickerbocker Crisis, was a financial crisis that took place in the United States over a three-week period starting in mid-October, when the New York Stock Exchange fell almost 50% from its peak the previous year. The panic occurred during a time of economic recession, and there were numerous runs on banks and on trust companies. The 1907 panic eventually spread throughout the nation when many state and local banks and businesses entered bankruptcy. The primary causes of the run included a retraction of market liquidity by a number of New York City banks and a loss of confidence among depositors, exacerbated by unregulated side bets at bucket shops.The panic was triggered by the failed attempt in October 1907 to corner the market on stock of the United Copper Company. When that bid failed, banks that had lent money to the cornering scheme suffered runs that later spread to affiliated banks and trusts, leading a week later to the downfall of the Knickerbocker Trust Company, New York City's third-largest trust. The collapse of the Knickerbocker spread fear throughout the city's trusts as regional banks withdrew reserves from New York City banks. Panic extended across the nation as vast numbers of people withdrew deposits from their regional banks. It is the 8th-largest decline in U.S. stock market history.The panic might have deepened if not for the intervention of financier J. P. Morgan, who pledged large sums of his own money and convinced other New York bankers to do the same to shore up the banking system. That highlighted the limitations of the US Independent Treasury system, which managed the nation's money supply but was unable to inject sufficient liquidity back into the market. By November, the financial contagion had largely ended, only to be replaced by a further crisis. That was because of the heavy borrowing of a large brokerage firm that used the stock of Tennessee Coal, Iron and Railroad Company (TC&I) as collateral. Collapse of TC&I's stock price was averted by an emergency takeover by Morgan's U.S. Steel Corporation, a move approved by the trust-busting President Theodore Roosevelt. The following year, Senator Nelson W. Aldrich, a leading Republican, established and chaired a commission to investigate the crisis and propose future solutions, which led to the creation of the Federal Reserve System.

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