Sörjande anhöriga till en av dem som dödades av en bilbomb i Ankara tidigare i mars. (ADEM ALTAN / AFP)

Varningen: Nära fullskaligt inbördeskrig i Turkiet

Oroligheterna mellan Turkiet och PKK kan eskalera ytterligare och riskerar att bli en bred etnisk konflikt. Det säger Toni Alaranta, Turkietexpert vid Utrikespolitiska institutet i Finland, till TT.
TT: Finns det risk för ett fullskaligt inbördeskrig?
– Vi befinner oss på randen till ett. Situationen är väldigt skrämmande, säger han.
Alaranta oroar sig också för att en ny generation kurder växer upp i utanförskap och känner att turkar är deras fiender.
– Så jag vet inte om regeringen verkligen tänkt igenom det här på lång sikt.
Sedan vapenvilan mellan Turkiet och PKK kollapsade förra sommaren har turkiska styrkor dödat över 5 300 personer och själva förlorat över 300 stridande och myndighetspersoner, uppger den turkiske presidenten. Siffrorna har inte bekräftats av oberoende källor.

bakgrund
 
Kurd-turkiska konflikten (1978–nu)
Wikipedia (en)
The Kurdish–Turkish conflict[note] is an armed conflict between the Republic of Turkey and various Kurdish insurgent groups, which have demanded separation from Turkey to create an independent Kurdistan, or to have autonomy and greater political and cultural rights for Kurds inside the Republic of Turkey. The main rebel group is the Kurdistan Workers' Party or PKK (Kurdish: Partiya Karkerên Kurdistan). Although insurgents have carried out attacks in many regions of Turkey, the insurgency is mainly in southeastern Turkey. The PKK's military presence in Iraq's Kurdistan Region, from which it also launches attacks on Turkey, has resulted in the Turkish military carrying out frequent ground incursions and air and artillery strikes in the region, despite the fact that the United States and Iraq have warned Turkey. The conflict has particularly affected Turkey's tourism industry and has cost the Economy of Turkey an estimated 300 to 450 billion dollars, mostly military costs. Since the PKK was founded on 27 November 1978, it has been involved in armed clashes with Turkish security forces. The full-scale insurgency, however, did not begin until 15 August 1984, when the PKK announced a Kurdish uprising. The first insurgency lasted until 1 September 1999, when the PKK declared a unilateral cease-fire. The armed conflict was later resumed on 1 June 2004, when the PKK declared an end to its cease-fire. Since summer 2011, the conflict has become increasingly violent with resumption of large-scale hostilities. In 2013 the Turkish Government and the jailed PKK leader Abdullah Öcalan started a new process regarding the Kurdish question. On 21 March 2013, Öcalan announced the end of armed struggle and a ceasefire with peace talks. On July 25, 2015, the PKK finally cancelled their 2013 ceasefire after a year of tension due to various events when the Turks bombed their positions in Iraq, in the midst of their defense against ISIS. In 1994, the PKK was estimated to have between 10,000 and 15,000 fighters, 5,000 to 6,000 of which inside Turkey (the rest in neighbouring countries) In 2004 the Turkish government estimated the amount of PKK fighters at approximately 4,000 to 5,000, of whom 3,000 to 3,500 were located in northern Iraq. By 2007 the number was said to have increased to more than 7,000. The PKK's leader, Murat Karayılan, claimed the group had between 7,000 and 8,000 fighters, 30 to 40% were in Iraq, and the rest in Turkey. High estimates put the number of active PKK fighters at 10,000.
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