Experter: Risk för att Kina blir det nya Japan
Kinas ekonomi står inför en rad utmaningar – inte minst larmen om bubblor i fastighetssektorn och på aktiemarknaden – som påminner om situationen i Japan innan landet gick in i en långvarig ekonomisk kris. Det skriver Financial Times i en längre artikel som bygger på intervjuer med en rad experter på den kinesiska marknaden.
Men den japanska ekonomins öde, med så kallade förlorade decennier, har bjudit på många lärdomar för Kinas ekonomer.
– Kineserna håller ögonen på befolkningssammansättningen nu efter som de vet vad Japan – och ingen annan heller – visste då. Japan lärde oss hur snabbt tillväxten kan avta när demografin ändras, säger ekonomen Martin Schulz på Fujitsu Research Institute.
bakgrund
Japans ekonomi
Wikipedia (en)
The economy of Japan is the third-largest in the world by nominal GDP and the fourth-largest by purchasing power parity (PPP). and is the world's second largest developed economy. According to the International Monetary Fund, the country's per capita GDP (PPP) was at $37,519, the 28th highest in 2014, down from the 22nd position in 2012. Japan is a member of the G7. The Japanese economy is forecasted by the Quarterly Tankan survey of business sentiment conducted by the Bank of Japan. Nikkei 225 presents the monthly report of top Blue chip (stock market) equities on Japan Exchange Group. Due to a volatile currency exchange rate, Japan's GDP as measured in dollars fluctuates widely. Accounting for these fluctuations through use of the Atlas method, Japan is estimated to have a GDP per capita of around $38,490.
Japan is the world's third largest automobile manufacturing country, has the largest electronics goods industry, and is often ranked among the world's most innovative countries leading several measures of global patent filings. Facing increasing competition from China and South Korea, manufacturing in Japan today now focuses primarily on high-tech and precision goods, such as optical instruments, hybrid vehicles, and robotics. Besides the Kantō region, the Kansai region is one of the leading industrial clusters and manufacturing centers for the Japanese economy. Japan is the world's largest creditor nation Japan generally runs an annual trade surplus and has a considerable net international investment surplus. As of 2010, Japan possesses 13.7% of the world's private financial assets (the third largest in the world) at an estimated $13.5 trillion. As of 2015, 54 of the Fortune Global 500 companies are based in Japan, down from 62 in 2013.
Japan has the highest ratio of public debt to GDP of any developed nation. The Japanese economy faces considerable challenges posed by a dramatically declining population. Statistics showed an official decline for the first time in 2015, while projections suggest that it will continue to fall from 127 million down to below 100 million by the middle of the 21st century.
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