Nya rekordtemperaturer att vänta när El Niño återvänder
År 2023 eller 2024 kommer troligen att bli det varmaste året på jorden sedan mätningarna inleddes. Det uppger klimatforskare på EU:s jordobservationsprogram Copernicus för Reuters.
Anledningen är att väderfenomenet El Niño väntas återkomma inom de kommande två åren. El Nino återkommer över Stilla havet med ett intervall på mellan två och sju år, och leder normalt till högre temperaturer.
Det varmaste året globalt var 2016 vilket sammanföll med El Niño.
bakgrund
El Niño
Wikipedia (en)
El Niño ( el NEEN-yoh, Spanish: [el ˈniɲo]; lit. 'The Boy') is the warm phase of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and is associated with a band of warm ocean water that develops in the central and east-central equatorial Pacific (approximately between the International Date Line and 120°W), including the area off the Pacific coast of South America. The ENSO is the cycle of warm and cold sea surface temperature (SST) of the tropical central and eastern Pacific Ocean.
El Niño is accompanied by high air pressure in the western Pacific and low air pressure in the eastern Pacific. El Niño phases are known to last close to four years; however, records demonstrate that the cycles have lasted between two and seven years. During the development of El Niño, rainfall develops between September–November. The cool phase of ENSO is Spanish: La Niña, lit. 'The Girl', with SSTs in the eastern Pacific below average, and air pressure high in the eastern Pacific and low in the western Pacific. The ENSO cycle, including both El Niño and La Niña, causes global changes in temperature and rainfall.Developing countries that depend on their own agriculture and fishing, particularly those bordering the Pacific Ocean, are usually most affected. In this phase of the Oscillation, the pool of warm water in the Pacific near South America is often at its warmest about Christmas. The original phrase, El Niño de Navidad, arose centuries ago, when Peruvian fishermen named the weather phenomenon after the newborn Christ.
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