Även om det uppstår splittring i EU nästa år kommer Angela Merkel sitta kvar som Tysklands förbundskansler, spår Eurasia Groups grundare Ian Bremmer. (TOBIAS SCHWARZ / AFP)

Statsvetare: Populismen kan splittra EU nästa år

Populismens genomslag 2016 kan fortsätta nästa år och splittra EU genom att flera ledare i europeiska länder förlorar makten. Det säger konsultbyrån Eurasia Groups grundare Ian Bremmer till CNBC. Däremot tror han att Tysklands förbundskansler Angela Merkel kommer att sitta kvar.

– Ekonomin i EU hjälper tyskarna på ett sätt som den inte gör för EU-periferin, säger han.

Han kan mycket väl tänka sig att det blir ett nyval i Storbritannien innan landet påbörjar sitt EU-utträde, skriver CNBC.

bakgrund
 
Eurasia Group
Wikipedia (en)
Eurasia Group is the world's largest political risk consultancy. Founded in 1998 by Ian Bremmer, it has offices in New York City, Washington, D.C., Stamford, CT, London, Tokyo, São Paulo, and San Francisco, and has more than 150 full-time employees. The company also employs a network of 500 experts in 90 countries in Asia, Latin America, Europe and Eurasia, and the Middle East and Africa—a profile The Economist magazine calls "an inspiration for any academic with a seemingly useless degree in political science". Eurasia Group is generally recognized to be the first to systematically bring political science as a discipline to Wall Street. This approach includes the Eurasia Group Global Political Risk Index (GPRI)—the first qualitative comparative political and economic risk index designed specifically to measure stability in emerging markets. Developed over a ten-year period by experts in transitional politics and economics, the methodology provides an "early warning" system which helps anticipate critical trends and provides a measure for country capacity to withstand political, economic, security, and social shocks. Eurasia Group services include analytic research publications and tailored consulting and advisory services, as well as direct access to Eurasia Group analysts, on political trends and their impact on business, financial markets and the foreign investment climate. Eurasia Group's clients include major investment banks, institutional investors, government agencies, and multinational corporations in numerous sectors.
Omni är politiskt obundna och oberoende. Vi strävar efter att ge fler perspektiv på nyheterna. Har du frågor eller synpunkter kring vår rapportering? Kontakta redaktionen