Saudiarabiens kronprins Mohammed bin Salman i Frankrike, augusti 2026.
Saudiarabiens kronprins Mohammed bin Salman i Frankrike, augusti 2026. (Julie Sebadelha / AP / TT)

Analyser: Huthierna slår mot kronprinsens framtidsdröm

Efter den dödligaste attacken i Saudiarabien på över ett decennium ökar pressen på kronprins Mohammed bin Salman att stoppa de Iranstödda huthirebellernas anfall. Men han har få alternativ, enligt analyser i flera medier.

Attackerna slår mot själva kärnan i kronprinsens ambition att förvandla Saudiarabien från ett slutet, oljeberoende land till ett globalt centrum för näringsliv och turism, skriver Vivian Nereim och Lisa Friedman i New York Times.

Samtidigt har huthierna blivit alltmer stridshärdade och deras krav har ökat. En politisk lösning blir därmed allt svårare, medan ett militärt nederlag för rebellerna framstår som osannolikt, skriver de.

CNN:s Mellanösternreporter Mostafa Salem beskriver samtidigt hur konflikten alltmer ses som en förlängning av Irans konfrontation med USA. Huthierna hotar med attacker mot samhällsviktig infrastruktur som kan få globala ekonomiska följder.

Men att slå tillbaka militärt är inte heller någon enkel utväg. Att skicka saudiska marktrupper till Jemen skulle enligt Salem innebära ett kostsamt krig i svår terräng – och riskera att rasera bilden av ett stabilt och investeringsvänligt Saudiarabien.

bakgrund
 
Militärinterventionen i Jemen
Wikipedia (en)
On 26 March 2015, Saudi Arabia, leading a coalition of nine countries from West Asia and North Africa, staged a military intervention in Yemen at the request of Yemeni president Abdrabbuh Mansur Hadi, who had been ousted from the capital, Sanaa, in September 2014 by the popular Ansar Allah forces (reported in Western outlets and agencies as Houthi rebels) during the Yemeni civil war. Efforts by the United Nations (UN) to facilitate a power sharing arrangement under a new transitional government collapsed, leading to escalating conflict between Saudi-tied government forces, Houthi revolutionaries, and other armed groups, which culminated in Hadi fleeing to Saudi Arabia shortly before it began military operations in the country. The first month of the intervention, codenamed Operation Decisive Storm (Arabic: عملية عاصفة الحزم, romanized: Amaliyyat 'Āṣifat al-Ḥazm), consisted of airstrikes on the people under Ansar Allah and a full blockade of its people, especially including civilians. On 22 April, the Saudi-led coalition declared that it had achieved its initial goals and announced Operation Restoring Hope, which would comprise a "combination of political, diplomatic and military action" while continuing "to prevent the Houthi militias from moving or undertaking any operations inside Yemen". Ground forces were subsequently deployed into the country as part of a broader offensive against both Houthi militants and loyalists of Hadi's predecessor, Ali Abdullah Saleh. Owing to Iran's support of these factions, the conflict is widely regarded as part of the broader Saudi-Iran proxy conflict. Egypt, Morocco, Jordan, Sudan, and the United Arab Emirates provided air and ground forces, while Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, and U.S. private military contractor Constellis headed several ground operations. Djibouti, Eritrea, and Somalia opened their airspace, territorial waters, and military bases to coalition forces. At varying stages, the intervention was backed by the United States, United Kingdom, France, Germany, and Canada. The U.S. provided intelligence and logistical support, such as aerial refueling and search-and-rescue for downed coalition pilots, accelerated the sale of weapons to coalition states, and continued strikes against AQAP. American and British servicemen have provided advice and training related to Saudi-led airstrikes in Yemen. The intervention has drawn criticism from international organizations and human rights groups, which stated that it contributed to civilian casualties, damage to infrastructure, and the humanitarian situation in Yemen. Academics also debate whether it violates Article 2(4) of the UN Charter. By 2019, the conflict was reported as a "military stalemate", and the following year, Saudi Arabia declared its first unilateral ceasefire. On 29 March 2022, the Saudi-led coalition announced that it would cease all hostilities within Yemen to facilitate political talks and peacekeeping efforts; Houthi and Saudi officials subsequently began bilateral peace talks mediated by Oman under UN auspices, and most restrictions on commercial goods were lifted by April 2023. As of April 2024, open hostilities have largely ceased, though negotiations are ongoing due to complications caused by Houthi attacks on Red Sea shipping since October 2023. After Saudi Arabia resumed bombing Yemen amidst the 2026 Iran war, Houthis launched an offensive and succeeded in capturing territory along Yemen's western coast, potentially giving the group control over the geostrategically important Bab-el-Mandeb strait.

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